In the field of systematic reviewing it is easy (and often necessary) to dip yourself deep into the sea of the literature and forget about all things that are going on in the outside world. Reflecting upon myself I realised that I hadn’t actually attended a proper Cochrane meeting even though I’ve been doing reviews for more than a decade. Before rendering myself truly obsolete, I decided to seize the opportunity when the Cochrane UK and Ireland Symposium came to Birmingham earlier in March to catch up with the latest development in the field. And I wasn’t disappointed.
A major challenge for people undertaking systematic reviews is to deal with the sheer number of potentially relevant papers against the timeline beyond which a review would be considered irrelevant. Indeed the issue is so prominent that we (colleagues in Warwick and Ottawa) have recently written and published a commentary to discuss ‘how to do a systematic review expeditiously’. One of the most arduous processes in doing a systematic review is screening through the large number of records retrieved from search of bibliographical databases. Two years ago the bravest attempt that I heard of in a Campbell Collaboration Colloquium was sifting through over 40,000 records in a review. Two years on the number has gone up to over 70,000. While there is little sign that the number of published research papers is going to plateau in the future, I wonder how much reviewers’ stamina and patience can keep pace – even if they have the luxury of time to do it. Here comes the rescue of the clever computer. If Google’s AlphaGo can beat the human champion of Go games, why cannot artificial intelligence saves reviewers from the humble but tedious task of screening articles?
Back to the symposium there is no shortage of signs of this digital revolution on the agenda. To begin with, the conference has no brochure or abstract book to pick up or print. All you get is a mobile phone app which tells you what the sessions are and where to go. Several plenary and workshop sessions were related to automation, which I was eager to attend and from which I learned of a growing literature on the use of automation throughout the review process, including article sifting, data extraction, quality assessment  and report generation. Although most attempts were still exploratory, the use of text mining, classification algorithm and machine-learning to assist with citation screening appears to have matured sufficiently to be considered for practical application. The Abstrackr funded by AHRQ is an example that is currently freely available (registration required) and has been subject to independent evaluation. Overall, existing studies suggest such software may potentially save reviewers’ workload in the range of 30-70% (by ruling out references unlikely to be relevant and hence don’t need to be screened) with a fairly high level of recall (missing 5% or less of eligible articles). However this is likely to be subject-dependent and more empirical evidence will be required to demonstrate its practicality and limitations.
It is important to understand a bit more behind the “black box” machine when using such software, and so we were introduced to some online text mining and analysis tools during the workshop sessions. One example is “TerMine”, which allows you to put in some plain text or specify a text file or an URL. Within a few seconds or so it will return a list of text with most relevant terms highlighted (this can be viewed as a table ranked by relevance). I did a quick experimental analysis of the CLAHRC WM’s Director and Co-Director’s Blog, and the results seem to be a fair reflection of the themes: community health workers, public health, organisational failure, Cochrane reviews and service delivery were among the highest ranking terms (besides other frequent terms of CLAHRC WM and the Director’s name). The real challenge in using such tools, however, is how then to organise the identified terms in a sensible way (although there is other software around that is capable of doing things like semantic or cluster analysis), and perhaps more importantly, what important terms might be under-presented or absent.
Moving beyond systematic reviews, there are more ambitious developments such as the “Contentmine”, which is trying to “liberate 100 million facts from the scientific literature” using data mining techniques. Pending the support of more permissive copyright regulations and open access practice in scientific publishing, the software will be capable of automatically extracting data from virtually all available literature and then re-organise and present the contents (including texts and figures etc.) in a format specified by the users.
Finally, with all these exciting progresses around the world, Cochrane itself is certainly not lying idle. You might have seen its re-branded websites, but there are a lot more going on behind the scene: people who have used Review Manager (RevMan) can expect to see a “RevMan Web version” in the near future; the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) is being enhanced by aforementioned automation techniques and will be complemented by a Cochrane Register of Study Data (CRS-D), which will make retrieval and use of data across reviews much easier (and thus facilitate further exploration of existing knowledge such as undertaking ‘multiple indication reviews’ advocated by the CLAHRC WM Director) ; there will also be a further enhanced Cochrane website with “PICO Annotator” and “PICOfinder” to help people locating relevant evidence more easily; and the Cochrane Colloquium will be replaced by an even larger conference which will bring together key players of systematic reviewing both within and beyond health care around the world. So watch the space!
— Yen-Fu Chen, Senior Research Fellow
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